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The Geopolitics of the Iran Deal: Winners and Losers | 04/12/16
In the short term, one of the biggest winners in the Iran deal is China, and the biggest loser is Saudi Arabia. But 10, 15 years from now, we may see that the deal was a seminal factor in reintegrating Iran into the global political economy and strengthening civil society--making the U.S. and Europe the winners and countries like Russia and Syria the losers.
What Went Wrong in the Arab Spring? | 02/15/16
Adam Roberts, Rashid Khalidi
In the early days of the Arab Spring, non-violent civil resistance helped topple authoritarian governments in Tunisia, Egypt, and Yemen. Yet these apparent triumphs were followed by disasters. What went wrong? Was the problem rooted in the popular movements themselves, or in their societies? And what's the best way forward now?
The Unprecedented Jihadi Threat in Europe | 01/25/16
"At this very moment, ISIS is recruiting probably 100 people a week from all over the world, including this very country. So it is not a European problem, it is not an Arab issue; it is a global threat and global challenge. That is why I insist on the fact that the threat has to be dealt with at the source, which is basically Syria."
Winter is Coming: Why Vladimir Putin and the Enemies of the Free World Must be Stopped | 01/15/16
Garry Kasparov, Robert G. Kaiser
Garry Kasparov is an outspoken critic of Vladimir Putin's authoritarianism, but he is equally critical of the United States and its allies for their unwillingness to confront Moscow. In this fascinating discussion, he and journalist Robert Kaiser grapple with complex and difficult questions about Russia and the "free world," and what we mean by a moral foreign policy.
Top Risks and Ethical Decisions 2016 | 01/07/16
Ian Bremmer, Devin T. Stewart
Eurasia Group's Ian Bremmer discusses the top political risks for 2016 and gives a stark warning for the year ahead. Touching on the Saudi-Iranian tensions, China's footprint, and the eroding trans-Atlantic alliance, Bremmer says, "This is very likely to be the most dangerous year of geopolitical risk we have experienced since we started this process."
Pacific: Silicon Chips and Surfboards, Coral Reefs and Atom Bombs, Brutal Dictators, Fading Empires, and the Coming Collision of the World's Superpowers | 11/18/15
Master storyteller, researcher, and traveler Simon Winchester takes us on a fascinating voyage through the Pacific, tying it all together with two ethical questions: Should the Americans and the Chinese have a level playing field? And should we respect the ways of the Pacific ancients?
Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action on Iran: Assessment and Prospects | 08/20/15
Gary Sick, David C. Speedie
Professor Gary Sick, Iran expert at Columbia University and lead White House negotiator during the 1979 Iran hostage crisis, assesses the merits of the recently negotiated agreement on Iran's nuclear program and the prospects for the upcoming vote in Congress.
Ukraine and the Future of Reforms | 07/20/15
John A. Cloud, Nikolas K. Gvosdev, David C. Speedie
In May 2015, a time of crisis not only for Ukraine but also for the future of the entire EU, Cloud and Gvosdev went to Lithuania, Poland, Germany, and Belgium and had frank discussions on Ukraine with former and current government officials and think-tank representatives, and with EU officials in Brussels. Here are their findings.
Crisis in Yemen: Instability on the Arabian Peninsula | 05/22/15
In this grim, masterful talk Bernard Haykel explains the complex historical background and current realities of the crisis in Yemen. In doing so, he analyzes key foreign players: the Saudis, now with a new king, whose favorite son is playing a major role; the Iranians and their proxy, Hezbollah; and the Americans, whose policy he describes as "catastrophic."
EARTH DAY 2015 | 04/21/15
How can we find sustainable ways to feed the world's exploding population? How can we tackle climate change? How can we confront the moral dilemmas it presents? To mark Earth Day 2015, this selection of Carnegie Council resources from the past year offers both innovative solutions and searching, ethical debates.
ISIS is the Product of Muslim Humiliation and the New Geopolitics of the Middle East | 04/07/15
Since the end of the Cold War, a third wave of geopolitics is starting to take hold in the Middle East, one that will be characterized by failed states, political chaos and revolt, inter-state conflict, and foreign interventions. Yet this is not inevitable. The course of these disastrous developments can and must change.
American Energy Challenges and Global Leadership in the Years Ahead | 04/06/15
Helima Croft, John M. Deutch, David Gordon, Marc Lipschultz, Elizabeth Rosenberg
Thanks to new technologies for extracting oil and natural gas, such as hydraulic fracturing ("fracking"), the United States is now the biggest producer of energy in the world. What do plummeting energy prices mean for sellers and consumers around the world--and what will be the likely consequences for climate change?
The Eleventh Hour: The Legacy and the Lessons of World War I | 03/24/15
Charles M. Sennott
One hundred years after the First World War, boundaries established after the armistice at the "eleventh hour of the eleventh day of the eleventh month" still shape many of today's conflicts, from ISIS's invasion of Mosul to Boko Haram's kidnapping of schoolgirls. What lessons have we learned from WWI? Just as important, what have we still not learned?
The Kurdish Spring: A New Map of the Middle East | 03/20/15
David L. Phillips
In this stirring, information-filled talk on the Kurdish people, David Phillips recounts centuries of abuse and repression against the world's "largest stateless people." But he also illuminates the vitality of today's Kurds, who are "pro-Western and secular" and have proven to be America's most capable regional partners in the fight against ISIS.
The United States, Russia, and Ukraine: Report from Moscow | 03/10/15
Dmitri Trenin, David C. Speedie
Dmitri Trenin, director of Carnegie Endowment's Moscow Center, served in the Soviet and Russian military for two decades and understands both the Russian and U.S. points of view. He warns that U.S.-Russia relations are heading for a new version of the Cold War, and also discusses the Russian economy and its relations with China and other countries.
Nigeria and the Horror of Boko Haram | 03/09/15
"Like other radical insurgencies, Boko Haram is fueled by poor governance, political marginalization, and its region's deepening impoverishment," says former Ambassador to Nigeria John Campbell. "However, it is also shaped by specifically Nigerian circumstances and factors." This talk helps us understand Boko Haram's roots, ideology, and goals.
Politics and Profits of Academia | 01/16/15
Anant Agarwal, Sidni Mackenzie Frederick, Jason Lane, Julia Taylor Kennedy
Even if universities are not for profit, budgets loom large in higher education--and global markets hold revenue potential. In this episode, we look at three ways universities are involved in global markets and how this can create ethical considerations and unintended consequences.
Top Risks and Ethical Decisions 2015 | 01/15/15
"The world in 2015 looks a lot more dangerous, a lot more vulnerable," says global political risk specialist Ian Bremmer in his annual forecast. He notes that while the United States and China, the world's largest and second-largest economies, are doing better economically, the global environment is geopolitically much worse.
Cuba's Pivotal Role on the World Stage | 01/09/15
One might not think that a small island like Cuba could play a critical role in world politics. Yet the circumstances of Obama's decision to restore diplomatic relations with Cuba should prompt us to see the country in a new light. We should examine the role of Russia in this event, as well as the repercussions in the rest of Latin America.
Climate Change and the Future of Humanity | 09/19/14
Dale Jamieson, Darrel Moellendorf, Mary Robinson, Henry Shue
Climate change is already here. The seas are rising, the glaciers are melting, and the atmosphere is warming. How can we work together to set a different course for humanity?